AMEDEUS' MLB GOLD STRIKE!
- Handicapper
- Amedeus Mastrangelo
- League
- MLB
- Competition
- Houston Astros vs New York Mets
- Release Date
- 08/30/2026 11:35 AM
- Event Date
- 08/30/2026 03:10 PM
- Bet Type
- Moneyline
- Pick
-
New York Mets -119
(DraftKings)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- The Astros are coming into this game with a 68-68 record this season and they have been barely hanging onto the lead of the AL West. They have been playing better recently as they have won 2 of their last 3 as well as 3 of their last 5 games, but their offense has not been good in these. They have scored 3 runs or less in each of their last 2 as well as 3 of their last 4 games and their pitching has not been great either, allowing 6+ runs in 4 of their last 6 games. They are going up against a Mets team that is 61-75 this season and they have been playing better in their recent games. They have lost 3 of their last 4 games, but they have improved a lot over the last 2 weeks and they are coming off of a 6-2 win in their last game with a chance to win this series now. Their pitching has also been much better recently as they have allowed 3 runs or less in each of their last 2 as well as 4 of their last 6 games. Ethan Pecko is starting for the Astros in this game and he is 0-0 with a 7.88 ERA this season. He has only made 2 starts in his career, but he struggled in both, allowing 2 earned runs in less than 4 innings pitched at home against the Angels in his MLB debut and now he is coming off of a start allowing 5 earned runs in 4 innings pitched on the road against the Yankees. He was much worse in that road start as well and he is not going to go very deep in this game with the way he has pitched. Zac Thornton is starting for the Mets in this game and he is 3-4 with a 2.88 ERA this season. He has been good recently as he has allowed 1 earned run or less in 2 of his last 4 as well as 5 of his last 9 starts and he has not allowed more than 3 earned runs in any of those. He has also been pitching very deep into a lot of his starts and has been very good at home, allowing 1 earned run in 6 innings his last start there and allowing just 1 earned run or less in 4 of his 6 home starts this season. The Mets have been pitching very well over the last 2 weeks and they are going to get another good deep outing from their starter here while Pecko continues to struggle in his 3rd career start. The Mets will win this game at home.