Free Sports Picks

The under falls into a very good 257-198-4 (56.5%) college football totals system of mine that dates to 2011 and invests on the under in games involving conference home teams priced between -6.5 and +7.5 points versus teams arriving off a game in which they allowed 35 or more points. Houston arrives off a 45-35 loss to West Virginia and falls squarely on the foregoing situation. Since 1989, .600 or greater teams coming off a game that went over the total by 30 or more points are 325-245-5 to the Under (57%). Houston’s attack will struggle to move the chains through the air against a strong Central Florida secondary ranked 11th in passing yards per game allowed (161.4) and 6th in yards per completion allowed (9.9). Finally, Houston wide receiver Stephon Johnson is out for the season, and the Cougars’ aerial attack is 0.3 yards per pass play worse without Johnson on the field. Take the Under as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Thursday, November 6.

Army is coming off a 20-17 win over Air Force, but the Cadets were outgained and benefited from a plus-three turnover margin. Since 1989, Army is 64-84-1 ATS (43.2%) as favorites, including 19-30-1 ATS (38.8%) as favorites of -3 to -7 points. Temple applies to a very good 196-144-6 ATS (57.6%) college football revenge system of mine that dates to 2008 and invests on certain avenging conference road underdogs of +3.5 to +9.5 points. Since 1989, unranked conference road underdogs of +6 to +16 are 272-165-6 ATS (62.2%) in games with certain totals versus opponents that won at least one game the previous season, covering the spread by an average margin of +2.7 points per game. Finally, Temple is 22-11 ATS (66.7%) following a loss since 2020. Take Temple as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Saturday, November 8.