AMEDEUS' MLB HOME RUN HAMMER!
- Handicapper
- Amedeus Mastrangelo
- League
- MLB
- Competition
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals
- Release Date
- 08/30/2026 11:34 AM
- Event Date
- 08/30/2026 02:15 PM
- Bet Type
- Moneyline
- Pick
-
Pittsburgh Pirates -122
(BetOnline)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- The Pirates are coming into this game with a 66-71 record this season and they have been playing better in their recent games. They have won 3 of their 5 games and they are coming off of a 6-2 win in their last game with a chance to win this series now. Their offense was much better in that last game and their pitching has been very good recently, allowing 3 runs or less in 4 of their last 5 games. They are going up against a Cardinals team that is 68-69 this season and they have been playing better recently. They have won 2 of their last 3 games, but they are coming off of a 6-2 loss in their last game and they have also lost 6 of their last 8 games with their pitching being awful in that span. They have allowed 5+ runs in 7 of their last 8 games and their offense has been very inconsistent in these. Braxton Ashcraft is starting for the Pirates in this game and he is 13-5 with a 3.59 ERA this season. He went through a rough stretch recently, but he has been much better in his last 5 starts. He has allowed just 1 earned run or less in each of his last 3 as well as 4 of his last 5 starts and he has been pitching very deep into his last 3 starts. He has also been good on the road as he has allowed 1 earned run or less in 3 of his last 4 as well as 4 of his last 6 road starts. He has 3 career starts against the Cardinals and he is 1-1 with a 4.24 ERA in those, but he is 1-0 with a 1.42 ERA in 2 career starts in this ballpark. Matthew Liberatore is starting for the Cardinals in this game and he is 5-12 with a 5.44 ERA this season. He has not been good recently as he has allowed 3+ earned runs in 3 of his last 4 as well as 5 of his last 7 starts and he just allowed 8 earned runs in 4 innings pitched in his last start. He has not been good at home either as he has allowed 3+ earned runs in each of his last 3 as well as 5 of his last 6 starts there, allowing 5+ earned runs in each of his last 2 as well as 3 of his last 5 home starts too. He is also 2-3 with a 5.72 ERA in 11 career starts against the Pirates. The Pirates offense was heating up in that last game and they have had a very good offense this season, they are going to score runs on Liberatore with how bad he has been recently and the Cardinals bullpen has not been great either. The Pirates are also going to get a deep outing with Ashcraft pitching much better again and the bullpen has also been better recently which will be the difference in this game. The Pirates will win this game.