Result

Sean's MLB AFTERNOON RL GRAND SLAM! 121-84?

Handicapper

Sean Murphy

League

MLB

Competition

Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins

Release Date

04/15/2026 08:14 AM

Event Date

04/15/2026 01:40 PM

Bet Type

Run Line

Pick

Minnesota Twins +1.5 (-142) (BetOnline)

Outcome

Loss

Analysis

My selection is on Minnesota +1.5 runs over Boston at 1:40 pm et on Wednesday. The 'avoid the sweep' crowd figures to be out in full force backing the Red Sox in this game. We've already taken advantage of that once this season, cashing with the Astros as they wrapped up a series sweep of Boston two weeks ago. We'll do the same with the red hot Twins on Wednesday. Minnesota ranks third in the majors in xwOBA over the last week. It also sits seventh in wOBA against left-handed pitching this season and it will face a southpaw starter in Connelly Early of the Red Sox on Wednesday. Early is off to a fine start by some metrics, including a 2.94 FIP through three outings. However, he has allowed 22-of-61 (36%) of batters he has faced to reach base and given how well Minnesota has been hitting, it is likely to take advantage here. Simeon Woods Richardson will counter for the Twins. He doesn't instill a ton of confidence but will be facing a Red Sox club that ranks 24th in baseball in wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. Current Boston hitters have gone a healthy 7-for-22 (.318) but with only a .764 OPS against Woods Richardson. We're talking about a small sample size and only one of those seven hits went for extra bases. Of the nine Red Sox hitters that have seen Woods Richardson, only five have collected a hit and just one has more than one hit (Isiah Kiner-Falefa - a part-time player - is 3-for-4 with three singles). We'll grab the insurance run here as the Twins bullpen has admittedly struggled in the early going this season. While Minnesota's bullpen numbers are gawdy for the most part, it has managed to convert five saves while blowing only one. Take Minnesota +1.5 runs (8*).