ASA NBA Day Game PERFECTION! 100% NBA RUN!
- Handicapper
- ASA, Inc.
- League
- NBA
- Competition
- Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets
- Release Date
- 03/01/2026 11:05 AM
- Event Date
- 03/01/2026 03:40 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Denver Nuggets -2.5 (-120)
(DraftKings)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- ASA NBA play on Denver Nuggets -2.5 vs. Minnesota Timberwolves, 3:30 pm ET - This is a big game today between two teams that have a strong dislike for each other. Both teams currently stand 37-23 SU on the season and are fighting for the 4th seed in the Western Conference which would mean home court in the 1st round of the playoffs. Denver has won all 3 meetings this season and we don’t see that trend changing here. The Nuggets are a tough loss a couple nights ago in OKC and look to rebound here. They have been exceptional off a loss this season with a 17-5 SU record and an average margin of victory in those games of +7.6ppg. That’s a reoccurring theme with the Nuggets who are 63-26 SU off a loss since 2023. Minnesota has won 5 of their last six games but they came against Portland twice, the Clippers without Leonard, Dallas and Atlanta and 3 of those wins were at home. Despite the 4-1 record in their last five games, the Nuggets have the better efficiency differential of 10.8 compared to the Wolves 3.2. These two teams have a lot of similarities statistically with the exception being 3PT defense. The Nuggets are the best 3PT shooting team in the NBA at 39.3%, the Wolves rank 17th in 3PT% defense allowing 36%. Minnesota shoots it well themselves from Downtown, but the Nugs rank 6th in 3PT% defense. Normally the Wolves enjoy a rebounding advantage but not in this game as Denver’s rebound percentage on the season is better than Minnesota’s. Given the circumstances we like Denver with this short number of -2.5