TOM'S 20-0 ATS NCAAB ULTIMATE DATABASE WAGER
- Handicapper
- Tom Stryker
- League
- NCAAB
- Competition
- Murray State vs Bradley
- Release Date
- 03/01/2026 09:14 AM
- Event Date
- 03/01/2026 02:00 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Bradley -4 (-110)
(Consensus Line)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- #834 BRADLEY (-) over Murray St at 2 PM EST
Off the 93-86 road loss (no cover) at UIC and in their final regular season game, Bradley will use the strength of Carver Arena to cash this ticket. Murray State enters this MVC showdown off a 13-point home win over Evansville and, in the middle of a horrible 5-7 SU and 2-10 ATS run, the Racers will get rocked in Peoria. Let's take a look inside the numbers.
Revenge motivation will have the Braves fired up for this contest, too. Back on January 4th, head coach Brian Wardle and his boys were a +5.5-point underdog at Murray State and they got hammered by the final score of 86-66. Before that 20-point beatdown, Bradley had won four straight in this series. In addition, at home, the Braves have been worth the wager inking a reliable 68-11 SU and 44-29-1 ATS record including a sound 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS provided they are competing with same season single revenge. Finally, in its own backyard arriving without confidence off a SU and ATS loss, BU sports a noteworthy 20-4 SU and 14-9-1 ATS mark.
Holding a weak 39-48 SU and 34-51-2 ATS record, true road games have been a problem for Murray State. In this setting holding a team won/loss percentage of .551 or higher, the Racers fall to a horrible 23-28 SU and 12-37-2 ATS including a filthy 13-26 SU and 6-31-2 ATS provided their opponent carries a team won/loss percentage of .380 or higher. With those two parameters in play and skipper Ryan Miller and his squad arriving with three or more days of rest, this situation crumbles to a jaw-dropping 9-26 SU and 3-30-2 ATS including a hideous 2-19 SU and 0-20-1 ATS provided they hold a pointspread won/loss percentage of .520 or worse.
With a Red Out expected on Senior Day, the Braves will lock up the MVC's best home record for the 2025-26 season with a strong performance here. Take Bradley. Thanks, and best of luck, Tom.