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Result

Fargo's NBA Early Dominator (49-33-1 Run)

Handicapper
Matt Fargo
League
NBA
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets
Release Date
03/01/2026 09:07 AM
Event Date
03/01/2026 03:40 PM
Bet Type
Point Spread
Pick
Denver Nuggets -2.5 (-118) (DraftKings)
Outcome
Loss
Analysis
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Early Dominator. Denver is coming off a tough overtime loss against the Thunder on the road Friday and the Nuggets are 2-2 out of the break and they have been wildly inconsistent going back further. The home floor has not been dominant as in years past but they have hit in certain spots. Going back, Denver is 20-6 in its 26 games following a loss under head coach David Adelman while going 3-1 ATS this season in four home games off a road win. Minnesota is coming off a pair of wins over Portland and the Clippers to open this three-game road trip and head to Denver at a bad time. Minnesota is 2-8 ATS on the road this season following a road win. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog going up against an opponent off a road win. This situation is 49-17 ATS (74.2 percent) since 2017. 10* (508) Denver Nuggets