ASA Big Ten CBB Slaughter! 21-6 (78%) HEATER!
- Handicapper
- ASA, Inc.
- League
- NCAAB
- Competition
- Michigan State vs Indiana
- Release Date
- 02/28/2026 07:56 PM
- Event Date
- 03/01/2026 03:45 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Indiana +2.5 (-102)
(DraftKings)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- #846 ASA PLAY ON Indiana +2.5 over Michigan State, Sunday at 3:45 PM ET - This is just a monumental home game for Indiana. They sit squarely on the NCAA bubble and with their last 2 games coming vs Minnesota and Ohio State, this is their final shot at a big time regular season win. It’s a very solid situational spot as well as the Hoosiers catch MSU off a huge road win over Purdue as a 7 point dog. It was a physical, down to the wire game (2 point win for MSU) in which neither team led by more than 8 points. Tough spot on the road again for Sparty coming off that win and facing a team they already smoked at home earlier this year (81-60 Spartan win in mid January). On the other hand, we’re getting Indiana coming off a home loss vs Northwestern as an 8 point favorite, in a game they dominated for nearly it’s entirety. IU led for 87% of the game and held a 13 point 2nd half lead. With less than 7:00 minutes remaining in the game, the Hoosiers had an 83% chance of winning based on probabilities. After a blown game like that, we expect them to bounce back at home and play very well on Sunday. Offensively, Indiana is the better shooting team, better from beyond the arc, they turn the ball over at a lower rate, and make 78% of their FT’s. Against other upper tier Big 10 teams at Assembly Hall, IU topped Purdue and Wisconsin, and lost a tight game vs Nebraska. If they can be at least respectable on the glass, Indiana should have a solid shot to win this game outright. It’s a much bigger game for the home team and we’ll grab the points.