NFL 20-Star Hi-Roller Total - Thursday
- Handicapper
- Jim Feist
- League
- NFL
- Competition
- Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills
- Release Date
- 09/18/2025 11:06 AM
- Event Date
- 09/18/2025 08:15 PM
- Bet Type
- Over / Under
- Pick
-
Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills Over 49.5 (-112)
(DraftKings)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- Week 3 features a Bills team that enters at 2-0 and flying high while the Dolphins will look to get on the board for the first time in 2025 as they enter at 0-2. Buffalo has been solid on both sides of the ball with Josh Allen spearheading an offense that has found success in the running game and through the air with a vertical passing attack. Miami has the weapons to be explosive on offense despite the slow start, especially if Tua Tagovailoa can pick apart the Bills secondary with targets such as Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. It won’t be easy against a Bills team that knows a divisional loss won’t be acceptable on Thursday, but Miami has the offensive firepower to keep pace and attack quickly. Add both teams have playmakers that can take over games and it’s clear the line will move in the points department.
Miami will be shorthanded on defense with several starters out and a host of players questionable. That won’t deter Allen, who will look to take shots downfield against mismatched coverage while spreading the ball around to his playmakers. Buffalo’s defense will also be without some important pieces with injuries up front and in the secondary. If Miami can keep Tagovailoa upright long enough, the Dolphins should be able to move the ball and make big plays of their own. The game should have a quick pace as the offenses look to jump out early and then put points on the board, forcing the opposing team to play catch up.
Thursday’s divisional showdown should have some urgency, which makes it hard to believe either side will slow things down for long. This will be a fast-paced game full of big plays from the quarterbacks on both sides of the ball, making OVER the play here.
Jim's Play: 301. Dolphins/Bills OVER