Fargo's NFL Thursday Primetime (8-7 NFL YTD)
- Handicapper
- Matt Fargo
- League
- NFL
- Competition
- Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills
- Release Date
- 09/17/2025 09:48 PM
- Event Date
- 09/18/2025 08:15 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Buffalo Bills -12 (-105)
(Consensus Line)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Thursday Primetime. If you saw the NFL Early Look video early this week, we went with the Bills as the free play but it was and always been a premium as this is Bills or nothing. Buffalo had the huge comeback against Baltimore in Week One and last week should have been the letdown if there was one but the Bills stepped up on both sides and now return home with a chip on their shoulder after a poor effort against the Ravens even though it resulted in a win. The running game will be on full display again and the defense will be ready after allowing just 154 yards against the Jets. Miami is lost right now and head coach Mike McDaniel looks defeated and a head coach that has lost the locker room after only two weeks. The Dolphins have been out of sorts for the first two weeks on both sides and going back on the road to a place they have not won since 2016 is not ideal. There is no concern about the short rest as we play on favorites of 10.5 or more points when playing with four or less days rest (Sunday-Thursday). This situation is 26-8 ATS (76.5 percent) since 1983 with an average scoring differential of +17.9 ppg. 10* (302) Buffalo Bills