Sean's NFL THURSDAY SHOW STOPPER! 256-208 RUN
- Handicapper
- Sean Murphy
- League
- NFL
- Competition
- Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills
- Release Date
- 09/16/2025 08:35 AM
- Event Date
- 09/18/2025 08:15 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Miami Dolphins +12.5 (-108)
(DraftKings)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- My selection is on Miami plus the points over Buffalo at 8:15 pm et on Thursday.
It’s no secret that Miami is in the early stages of a major organizational reset, but that doesn’t mean the players on the field will fold. In fact, situations like this often bring out a strong effort from guys looking to prove themselves, whether it be for long-term roster spots or for potential opportunities elsewhere. While the Dolphins’ start has been ugly, Thursday offers a prime chance for them to punch back against a division rival that has dominated this matchup in recent years.
Buffalo deserves credit for starting 2-0, first with a dramatic comeback win over Baltimore and then by avoiding a letdown against the Jets. But this spot sets up as more of a “handle business and move on” type game, especially with a short week before another manageable matchup against New Orleans. The Bills’ defense is also nursing some injuries, which could open the door for Miami to keep this one closer than the oddsmakers suggest.
Buffalo has won six straight in the series, but three of the last four home victories came by a field goal margin. That history, combined with a potentially inflated line thanks to the public flocking to the undefeated Bills, gives us reason to believe the Dolphins can hang tough. Take Miami plus the points.